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The Ontario general election of 2003 was held on October 2, 2003, to elect the 103 members of the 38th Legislative Assembly (Members of Provincial Parliament, or "MPPs") of the Province of Ontario, Canada.
The election was called on September 2 by Premier Ernie Eves to capitalize on an increase in support for the governing Ontario Progressive Conservative Party in the days following the 2003 North American blackout. The election was won, however, by the Ontario Liberal Party, led by Dalton McGuinty.
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In 1995, the Ontario Progressive Conservative Party or "Tories" under Mike Harris came from third place to upset the front-running Ontario Liberal Party under Lyn McLeod and the highly unpopular governing Ontario New Democratic Party under Bob Rae to form a majority government. The Harris government was far more activist than earlier Ontario PC governments, and over the next two terms moved to cut personal income tax rates by 30%, closed almost 40 hospitals to increase efficiency, cut the Ministry of the Environment staff in half, and undertook massive reforms of the education system including mandatory teacher testing and student testing in public education and public tax credits for parents who sent their children to private schools.
In the 1999 provincial election, the Tories were able to ride a strong economy and a campaign aimed at proving rookie Liberal leader Dalton McGuinty was "not up to the job" to another majority government. However, the Walkerton Tragedy, where a contaminated water supply led to the deaths of 7 people and illness of at least 2,300 were linked in part to government environment and regulatory cutbacks, the government was badly damaged. A movement to provide tax credits to parents with children in private schools also proved to be unpopular.
In September 2001, Harris announced his intention to resign and the PC party called a leadership convention for 2002 to replace him. Five candidates emerged: former Finance Minister Ernie Eves who had retired earlier that year, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty, Environment Minister Elizabeth Witmer, Health Minister Tony Clement and Labour Minister Chris Stockwell. The resulting leadership election was divisive in the PC Party, with Flaherty adopting a hard-right platform and attacking the front-running Eves as "a pale, pink imitation of Dalton McGuinty" and a "serial waffler." At one point, anti-abortion activists apparently supporting Flaherty distributed pamphlets attacking Tony Clement because his wife worked for hospitals that performed abortions. At the convention, Eves was able to win on the second ballot after Elizabeth Witmer and Tony Clement both endorsed him.
Eves took office on April 15, 2002, and promptly re-aligned his government to the political centre. The party would negotiate a deal with striking government workers, dramatically cancel an IPO of Hydro One, the government's electricity transmission company, and defer planned tax breaks for corporations and private schools for a year. With polls showing the Conservatives moving from a 15 point deficit to a tie in public opinion with the Liberals, the media praising Eves' political reorientation of the government, and the opposition Liberals reeling from the seizure of some of their political turf, the time seemed ripe for a snap election call. Many political observers felt that Eves had the momentum to win an election at that time.
However, several factors likely convinced Eves to wait to call an election. First, in 1990, the Liberals had lost the election in part due to perceptions that they called the election early for purely partisan reasons. Since then, the shortest distance between elections has been four years less five days (Ontario has since moved to fixed date election dates). Second, the PC Party was exhausted and divided from a six-month leadership contest. Third, the move to the centre had created opposition in traditional Conservative support. Financial conservatives and businesses were angered over Eves' cancellation of the hydro IPO. Others felt betrayed that promised tax cuts had not been delivered, seemingly breaking the PCs' own Taxpayer Protection Act, while private school supporters were upset their promised tax credit had been delayed for a year.
In the fall of 2002, the opposition Liberals began a round of attacks on perceived PC mismanagement. First, Jim Flaherty was embroiled in scandal when it was revealed that his leadership campaign's largest donor had received a highly lucrative contract for slot machines from the government. Then, Tourism Minister Cam Jackson was forced to resign when the Liberals revealed he had charged taxpayers more than $100,000 for hotel rooms, steak dinners and alcoholic beverages. The Liberals showed the Tories had secretly given a large tax break to the Toronto Blue Jays, a team owned by prominent Tory Ted Rogers.
At the same time, both the New Democrats and Liberals criticized the government over skyrocketing electricity prices. In May 2002, the government had followed California and Alberta in deregulating the electricity market. With contracting supply due to construction delays at the Pickering nuclear power plant and rising demand for electricity in an unusually warm autumn, the spot price for electricity rose, resulting in consumer outrage. In November, Eves fixed the price of electricity and ended the open market, appeasing consumers but angering conservative free-marketers.
That winter, Eves promised a provincial budget before the beginning of the fiscal year, to help hospitals and schools budget effectively. However, as multiple scandals in the fall had already made the party unwilling to return to Question Period, they wished to dismiss the Legislative Assembly of Ontario until as late as possible in the spring. The budget was instead to be announced at the Magna International headquarters in Newmarket, Ontario rather than in the Legislature. The move was met with outrage from the PC Speaker, Gary Carr who called the move unconstitutional and would rule that it was a prima facae case of contempt of the legislature. The controversy over the location of the budget would far outstrip any support earned by the content of the budget.
The government faced a major crisis when SARS killed several people in Toronto and threatened the stability of the health care system. On April 23, when the World Health Organization advised against all but essential travel to Toronto to prevent the spread of the virus, Toronto tourism greatly suffered.
When the spring session was finally convened in late spring, the Eves government was forced through three days of debate on the contempt motion over the Magna budget followed by weeks of calls for the resignation of Energy Minister Chris Stockwell. Stockwell was accused of accepting thousands of dollars in undeclared gifts from Ontario Power Generation, an arms length crown corporation he regulated, when he travelled to Europe in the summer of 2002. Stockwell finally stepped aside after dominating the provincial news for almost a month, and would not seek reelection.
By the summer of 2003, the Progressive Conservatives received an unexpected opportunity to re-gain popularity in the form of the 2003 North American blackout. When the blackout hit, Eves initially received criticism for his late response; however, as he led a series of daily briefings to the press in the days after the blackout, Eves was able to demonstrate leadership and stayed cool under pressure. The crisis also allowed Eves to highlight his principal campaign themes of experience, proven competence and ability to handle the government. When polls began to register a moderate increase for the Conservatives, the table was set for an election call.
In 1995 and 1999, the Progressive Conservatives ran highly focused, disciplined campaigns based on lessons learned principally in US states by the Republican Party. In 1995, the core PC strategy was to polarize the electorate around a handful of controversial ideas that would split opposition between the other two parties. The PCs stressed radical tax cuts, opposition to job quotas, slashing welfare rates and a few hot button issues like opposing photo radar and establish "boot camps" for young offenders. They positioned leader Mike Harris as an average-guy populist who would restore common sense to government after ten lost years of NDP and Liberal mismanagement. The campaign manifesto, released in 1994, was titled the "Common Sense Revolution" and advocated a supply side economics solution to a perceived economic malaise.
In 1999, the PCs were able to point to increased economic activity as evidence that their supply side plan worked. Their basic strategy was to again polarize the electorate around a handful of controversial ideas and their record while preventing opposition from rallying exclusively around the Liberals by undermining confidence in Liberal leader Dalton McGuinty. They ran a series of negative television ads against McGuinty in an attempt to brand him as "not up to the job." At the same time, they emphasized their economic record, while downplaying disruptions in health care and education as part of a needed reorganization of public services that promoted efficiency and would lead to eventual improvements.
Both campaigns proved highly successful and the principal architects of those campaigns had been dubbed the "whiz kids" by the press. David Lindsay, Mike Harris' chief of staff, was responsible for the overall integration of policy, communications, campaign planning and transition to government while Mitch Patten served as campaign secretary. Tom Long and Leslie Noble jointly ran the campaigns, with Long serving as campaign chair and Noble as campaign manager. Paul Rhodes, a former reporter, was responsible for media relations. Deb Hutton was Mike Harris' right arm as executive assistant. Jaime Watt and Perry Miele worked on the advertising. Guy Giorno worked on policy and speechwriting in 1995 and in 1999 was in charge of overall messaging. Scott Munnoch was tour director and Glen Wright rode the leader's bus. Future leader John Tory worked on fundraising and debate prep, and was actually one of two people (the other was John Matheson) to play Liberal leader Dalton McGuinty during preparation for the 1999 leaders' debate. (Andy Brandt and Giorno played NDP leader Howard Hampton.)
Heading into 2003, Tom Long refused to work for Ernie Eves. Most speculated that Long saw Eves as too wishy-washy and not enough of a traditional hard-right conservative. Jaime Watt took Long's position as campaign co-chair and more or less all the same players settled into the same spot. A few new faces included Jeff Bangs as campaign manager. Bangs was a long-time Eves loyalist who had grown up in his riding of Parry Sound.
The Progressive Conservatives once again planned on polarizing the electorate around a handful of hot button campaign pledges. However, with their party and government listing in public opinion polls, they found their only strong contrasts were around the experience and stature of Premier Eves. Their campaign slogan "Experience You Can Trust" was designed to highlight Eves' years in office.
The party platform, dubbed "The Road Ahead," was longer and broader than in earlier years. Five main planks would emerge for the campaign:
Each plank was targeted at a key Tory voting bloc: homeowners, seniors, religious conservatives, parents and law-and-order types.
Eves' campaigning followed a straight-forward pattern. Eves would highlight one of the five elements of the platform and then attack Dalton McGuinty for opposing it. For instance, he would visit the middle-class home of a visible minority couple with two kids and talk about how much money they would get under his mortgage deducatability plan. That would be followed by an attack on McGuinty for having a secret plan to raise their taxes. Or he would campaign in a small town assembly plant and talk about how under a "Made-in-Ontario" immigration plan fewer new Canadians would settle in Toronto and more outside the city, helping the plant manager with his labour shortage. Then he would link McGuinty to Prime Minister of Canada Jean Chrétien and say McGuinty supported the federal immigration system that allows terrorists and criminals into the country.
The Tory television advertising also attempted to polarize the election around these issues.
In one of the ads, a voice-over accompanying an unflattering photo of the Liberal leader asks "Ever wonder why Dalton McGuinty wants to raise your taxes?" The ad then points out that McGuinty has opposed Tory plans to allow homeowners a tax deduction on mortgage interest and to give senior citizens a break on their property taxes.
In another ad, the voice-over asks "Doesn't he (McGuinty) know that a child's education is too important to be disrupted by lockouts and strikes?" It says that McGuinty has sided with the unions and rejected the Tory proposal to ban teacher strikes.
Both ads end with the attack "He's still not up to the job."
Armed with a majority, the Tories were hoping to hold the seats they already had, while targeting a handful of rural Liberal seats in hopes of increasing their majority. They campaigned relatively little in Northern Ontario, with the exception of North Bay and Parry Sound, both of which they held.
The first half of Dalton McGuinty's 1999 campaign was widely criticized as disorganized and uninspired, and most journalists believe he gave a poor performance in the leaders' debate. However, McGuinty was able to rally his party in the last ten days. On election day, the Liberals won 40% of the vote, their second best showing in almost fifty years. Perhaps more importantly, nine new MPPs were elected, boosting the caucus from 30 to 36, including dynamic politicians like George Smitherman and Michael Bryant.
In 1999, the Liberal strategy had been to polarize the electorate between Mike Harris and Dalton McGuinty. They purposely put out a platform that was devoid of ideas, to ensure the election was about the Tory record, and not the Liberal agenda. To an extent, they succeeded. Support for the NDP collapsed from 21% to just 13%, while the Liberals climbed 9%. However, while they almost cornered the market of those angry at the Tories, they could not convince enough people to be angry at the Tories to win.
The night he conceded defeat, McGuinty was already planning how to win the next election. He set out the themes that the Liberals would build into their next platform. Liberals, he said, would offer "some of those things that Ontarians simply have to be able to count on - good schools, good hospitals, good health care, good education and something else.... We want to bring an end to fighting so we can finally start working together."
McGuinty replaced many of his young staff with experienced political professionals he recruited. Three he kept in key positions were Don Guy, his campaign manager and a pollster with Pollara, Matt Maychak, his director of communications, and Bob Lopinski, his director of issues management. To develop his platform, he added to this a new chief of staff, Phil Dewan, a former policy director for Premier David Peterson and Ottawa veteran Gerald M. Butts. He also sought out Peterson-era Ontario Minister of Labour Greg Sorbara to run for president of the Ontario Liberal Party.
Early on, McGuinty set down three strategic imperatives. First, no tax cuts. This ran against the conventional wisdom of politics that you had to offer tax cuts to win; everyone from Mike Harris to Bill Clinton had campaigned on reducing the tax burden on the middle class. But McGuinty was determined that Ontario voters would accept that the money was needed to restore public health care and education services. Second, a positive tone. McGuinty wanted to avoid the typical opposition leader role of automatically opposing whatever the government announced, and instead, set the agenda with positive alternatives. While attacking your opponent was important, that would be left to caucus surrogates. Third, one big team. At the time, the Ontario Liberal Party was riven into factions. Peterson-era people distrusted more recent arrivals. Jean Chrétien supporters fought with Paul Martin supporters. McGuinty set a tone that divisions were left at the door.
The emphasis on building the team was highly successful as job that in 1999 were done by one person were now assigned to groups of four or six or eight. Dewan brought on board veterans of the Peterson regime such as Sheila James, Vince Borg and David MacNaughton. From Ottawa, campaign veterans such as Warren Kinsella, Derek Kent and Gordon Ashworth signed on to help oust the Ontario Tories from power.
The Liberal strategy was the same as in 1999: polarize the election between the Conservatives and Liberals to marginalize the NDP and then convince enough voters that the Conservatives had to go. With polls showing more than 60% of voters reporting it was "time for a change", the Liberals campaign theme was "choose change". The theme summarized the two-step strategy perfectly: first, boil the election down to a two-party choice and then cast the Liberals as a capable and trustworthy agent of change at a time when voters were fed up with the government.
After the sparse platform of 1999, the 2003 Liberal platform was a sprawling omnibus of public policy crossing five main policy booklets, three supplements aimed at specific geographic or industrial groups and a detailed costing exercise. The principle planks that were highlighted in the election were:
McGuinty backed up his comprehensive platform with a meticulous costing by a forensic account and two bank economists. While the Conservatives had adopted a third-party verification in 1995, they did not in 2003, allowing the Liberals to gain credibility that they could pay for their promises.
In contrast to the Eves campaign, where the leader was both positive and negative message carrier, the Liberals used a number of caucus members to criticize the Harris-Eves government while McGuinty was free to promote his positive plan for change.
The Liberal advertising strategy was highly risky. While conventional wisdom says the only way to successfully respond to a negative campaign is with even more negative ads against your opponent, McGuinty ran only positive ads for the duration of the campaign.
In the pre-writ period, the Liberal advertising Dalton McGuinty speaking to the camera, leaning against a tree while snow falls, saying "People hear me say that I'll fix our hospitals and fix our schools and yet keep taxes down. Am I an optimist? Maybe. What I'm not is cynical, or jaded, or tired. I don't owe favours to special interests or old friends or political cronies. Together, we can make Ontario the envy of the world, once again. And, I promise you this, no one will work harder than I will to create that Ontario."
During the first stage of the campaign, the principal Liberal ad featured a tight close-up of Dalton McGuinty as he spoke about his plans for Ontario. In the key line of the first ad, McGuinty looks into the camera and says "I won't cut your taxes, but I'm not going to raise them either."
Geographically, the Liberal campaign was able to rest on a solid core of seats in Toronto and Northern Ontario that were at little risk at the beginning of the election period. They had to defend a handful of rural seats that had been recently won and were targeted by the PCs. However, the principle battlefield of the election was in PC-held territory in the "905" region of suburbs around Toronto, particularly Peel and York districts, suburban seats around larger cities like Ottawa and Hamilton and in Southwestern Ontario in communities like London, Kitchener-Waterloo and Guelph.
The 1999 NDP campaign received its lowest level of popular support since the Second World War, earning just 12.6% of the vote and losing party status with just nine seats. Several factors led to this poor showing, including a lacklustre campaign, Hampton's low profile and a movement called strategic voting that endorsed voting for the Liberals in most ridings in order to remove the governing Tories. After the election, there was a short-lived attempt to remove leader Howard Hampton publicly led by leaders of the party's youth wing. However, the majority of party members blamed the defeat on NDP supporters voting Liberal in hopes of removing Harris and the Tories from power. As a result, Hampton was not widely blamed for this severe defeat and stayed on as leader.
Under the rules of the Legislative Assembly, a party would receive "official party status", and the resources and privileges accorded to officially-recognized parties, if it had 12 or more seats; thus, the NDP would lose caucus funding and the ability to ask questions in the House. However, the governing Conservatives changed the rules after the election to lower the threshold for party status from 12 seats to 8. The Tories argued that since Ontario's provincial ridings now had the same boundaries as the federal ones, the threshold should be lowered to accommodate the smaller legislature. Others argued that the Tories were only helping the NDP so they could continue to split the vote with the Liberals.
During the period before the election, Hampton identified the Conservative plan for deregulating and privatizing electricity generation and transmission as the looming issue of the next election. With the Conservatives holding a firm market-oriented line and the Liberal position muddled, Hampton boldly focused the party's Question Period and research agendas almost exclusively on energy issues. Hampton quickly distinguished himself as a passionate advocate of maintaining public ownership of electricity generation, and published a book on the subject, Public Power, in 2003.
With the selection of Eves as the PC leader, the NDP hoped that the government's move to the centre in the spring of 2002 would reduce the polarization of the Ontario electorate between the PCs and Liberals and improve the NDP's standing. It was also hoped that the long-standing split between labour and the NDP would be healed as the bitter legacy of the Rae government faded.
The co-chairs of the NDP campaign were Diane O'Reggio, newly installed as the party's provincial secretary after a stint in Ottawa working for the federal party, and Andre Foucault, secretary-treasurer of the Communications Energy and Paperworkers union. The manager was Rob Milling, principal secretary to Hampton. Communications were handled by Sheila White and Gil Hardy. Jeff Ferrier was the media coordinator.
The NDP strategy was to present itself as distinct from the Liberals on the issue of public ownership of public services, primarily in electricity and health care, while downplaying any significant differences between the Liberals and PCs. There was a conscious effort to discourage "strategic voting" where NDP supporters vote Liberal to defeat the Conservatives. The NDP slogan was "publicpower", designed to highlight both the energy issue Hampton had championed and public health care, while promoting a populist image of empowerment for average people.
The NDP campaign was designed to be highly visual and memorable. Each event was built around a specific visual thematic. For instance, in the first week of the campaign, Hampton attacked the Liberal energy platform saying it was "full of holes" and holding up a copy of the platform with oversized holes punched in it. He also illustrated it "had more holes than Swiss cheese" by also displaying a large block of cheese. At another event, Hampton and his campaign team argued that the Liberal positions were like "trying to nail Jello to the wall" by literally attempting to nail Jello to a wall.
The first round of NDP ads avoided personal attacks, and cast leader Howard Hampton as a champion of public utilities. In one 30-second spot, Mr. Hampton talks about the effects of privatization of the power industry and the blackout. "For most of us, selling off our hydro was the last straw," he says. The clip is mixed with images of Toronto streets during power failure.
Geographically, the NDP campaign focused on targeting seats in Scarborough and Etobicoke in Toronto, Hamilton, Ottawa and Northern Ontario.
The first week of the campaign was dominated by the Conservatives, who launched a series of highly negative attacks at Liberal leader Dalton McGuinty while highlighting popular elements of their platform. On the Saturday of the first week, a round of media-sponsored public opinion polls showed the Liberals 12 point lead reduced to a tie between the Liberals and Conservatives. The Conservative strategy of "going negative" appeared to be working. Combined with Premier Eves' high-profile performance in the blackout, most media commentators believed the Liberals would have to also go negative.
As the campaign entered week 2, it was anticipated that the Liberals would push a series of highly negative ads to combat advertising by the Conservatives that attacked Dalton McGuinty. However, instead they went positive and stayed positive throughout the campaign. It was Eves who went on the defensive as the Liberals worked the media to put the Premier on his heels. Stung by years of arrogance by the PC Party toward reporters, the media were quick to pile on.
After the Liberals Gerry Phillips and Gerald M. Butts accused Eves of having no plan to pay for his $10.4 billion in promises, Eves stumbled when he could not provide his own cost for his promises. "I couldn't tell you off the top of my head," he admitted. Then came a story on the front of the Globe and Mail saying that Ontarians would have to pay "millions" in extra premiums because the election call had delayed implementation of new auto insurance regulations promised by Eves on the eve of the campaign. On Wednesday the government was broadsided when - days after a raid at a meat packing plant exposed the story state of public health at some abattoirs - leaked documents showed the PC government had been sitting on recommendations to improve meat safety, leading to calls for a public inquiry by the opposition parties. The issue was made worse when Agriculture Minister Helen Johns refused all media calls and had to be literally tracked down in her riding by reporters. On Thursday, according to the Green party candidate in Nipissing (Mike Harris's old riding), a donor with Tory connections offered him money to bolster his campaign and draw votes away from the Liberals. The same day, Eves attacked Dalton McGuinty for voting against a bill to protect taxpayers from increased taxes, when it turns out McGuinty in fact voted for that bill. Finally, on the Friday of the second week, the Eves campaign issued a bizarre press release calling Dalton McGuinty an "evil reptilian kitten-eater from another planet". This moment would prove the defining moment of the campaign. First, it was so memorable and unusual that it served to attract the attention of all Ontarians, including those who don't pay attention to a campaign until its final days. Second, the over-the-top negativity brought to life a key critique of the Liberals, that the Harris-Eves Tories picked fights for no reason and went too far. Third, the hysteria around the comment put the Eves campaign on the defensive in the media at a critical point and prevented them from regaining their footing after a difficult week. Fourth, it polarized the election around the PCs and Liberals, and left the NDP on the sidelines. Finally, and perhaps most importantly, the Eves team was instantly at each other's throats over who would take the blame for approving the press release.
The Conservatives spent the third week on the defensive and dropping in the polls, unable to recover from the disasters of the second week and fresh new attacks. The Liberals produced documents from the Walkerton Inquiry showing that individual Conservative MPPs were warned about risks to human health and safety resulting from cuts to the Environment Ministry budget. An attack on Dalton McGuinty saying he needed "professional help" forced an apology from the Conservatives to people with mental illness. Tory MPP John O'Toole said the Tory negative campaign was a mistake, putting Eves on the defensive once again. A leaked memo was used by the opposition to accuse the government of threatening public sector workers into not telling the truth at a public inquiry into the government's handling of the SARS crisis. Eves ended the week with another event that backfired, brandishing barbed wire and a get out of jail free card to attack the Liberals as soft on crime. Reporters spent more time focused on Eves' first use of props in the election than on his message.
By the fourth week of the campaign, polls showed the Liberals pulling away from the Conservatives with a margin of at least 10 points. It was widely believed that only a disastrous performance in the leader's debate stood between Dalton McGuinty and the Premier's Office. McGuinty - who had stumbled badly in the 1999 debate - was able to play off low expectations and a surprisingly low-key Eves to earn the draw he wanted. The debate itself was also subject to criticism from the Green Party of Ontario, which denounced a Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission decision not to allow leader Frank de Jong to participate.
The final week of the campaign was marred by more negative attacks from Eves and the Conservatives. At one point, Premier Eves referred to Mr. McGuinty as having a "pointy head", a remark he later conceded was inappropriate. McGuinty was able to extend the bad press from the incident another day when he joked to radio hosts that they needed to be careful "so I won't spear you with my sharp pointy head." McGuinty spent the last days of the campaign travelling through previously rock solid PC territory in ridings like Durham, Simcoe and Leeds-Grenville to large crowds.
For its part, the Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) led a theatrical campaign that proved ineffective. Leader Howard Hampton made an appearance in front of the Toronto home of millionaire Peter Munk to denounce Eves' tax breaks, claiming that they would save Munk $18,000 a year. He attempted to nail Jell-O to a wall to dramatize the elusiveness he accused his opponents of regarding hydro privatization. He also used a piece of Swiss cheese to suggest that his opponents' platforms were full of holes. [1]
The campaign was contentious on the issues as well, with both the Liberals and Howard Hampton's New Democrats attacking the Tories' record in office. Various scandals and other unpopular moves reduced public opinion of the Tories going into the race, including the Walkerton water tragedy, the deaths of Dudley George and Kimberly Rogers, the possible sale of publicly owned electric utility Hydro One, the SARS outbreak, the decision to release the 2003 budget at an auto parts factory instead of the Legislature, the widespread blackout in August, and the Aylmer packing plant tainted meat investigation. [2]. As one Tory insider put it "So many chickens came to roost, its like a remake of The Birds".
One of the most contentious issues was education. All three parties pledged to increase spending by $2 billion, but Premier Eves also pledged to ban teacher strikes, lock-outs, and work-to-rule campaigns during the school year, a move the other parties rejected. Teacher strikes had plagued the previous Progressive Conservative mandate of Mike Harris, whose government had deeply cut education spending.
Tax cuts were also an issue. The Progressive Conservatives proposed a wide range of tax cuts, including a 20-percent cut to personal income taxes, and the elimination of education tax paid by seniors, two moves that would have cost $1.3 billion together. The Liberals and New Democrats rejected these cuts as profligate. The Liberals also promised to cancel some pending Tory tax cuts and to eliminate some tax cuts already introduced.
CBC Newsworld declared a Liberal victory minutes after ballot-counting began. Ernie Eves conceded defeat only ninety minutes into the count.
The Liberals won a huge majority with 72 seats, almost 70% of the 106 seat legislature. The Liberals not only won almost every seat in the city of Toronto, but every seat bordering on Toronto as well. All seven seats in Peel region went Liberal, as well as previously safe PC 905 seats like Markham, Oakville and Pickering-Ajax. The Liberals also made a major breakthrough in Southwestern Ontario, grabbing all three seats in London as well as rural seats like Perth-Middlesex, Huron-Bruce and Lambton-Kent. If the story of the PC majorities in 1995 and 1999 were the marriage of rural and small-town conservative bedrock with voters in the suburbs, the 2003 election was a divorce of those suburban voters from rural Ontario and a new marriage to the mid-town professionals and New Canadians who make up the Liberal base.
The NDP had a disappointingly confusing election: on one hand, they won seven seats, one fewer than the eight required to keep "official party status", which would give it a share of official Queen's Park staff, money for research, and guaranteed time during Question Period. On the other hand, they increased their share of the popular vote for the first time since 1990. Despite the mixed results, Hampton stayed on as party leader, saying that the party did not blame him for the poor performance in an election where voters were apparently more concerned about defeating the Tories by any means necessary than about voting their conscience. The party was returned to official party status seven months into the session, when Andrea Horwath won a by-election in Hamilton East on May 13, 2004.
The Tories were completely shut out of Toronto, where 19 out of 22 ridings were won by the Liberals, and the remaining three were carried by the New Democrats. Perhaps more ominously for the PCs, they were also shut out of any seats bordering Toronto; only in the outermost and most ethically homogenous suburbs like Aurora and Whitby were high-profile PC cabinet ministers able to retain their seats. With the arguable exception of Elizabeth Witmer, no PC member represents an urban riding. The PC caucus is now overwhelmingly older white men from rural ridings elected in 1995 and ideologically right-wing.
The 38th Parliament of Ontario opened on November 19, 2003 at 3 p.m. Eastern Time with a Throne Speech in which the McGuinty government laid out their agenda.
High school students in every riding in Ontario were allowed to cast ballots in their classrooms as part of a student vote. While their numbers did not count in the official election, they did tell a story all on their own. The student vote reflected change a lot more than the actual result, as well as widespread anti-conservatism. 93 ridings favoured the Liberals in the student vote, nine favoured the New Democrats, and one favoured the Greens, while the Conservatives were shut out. There was also a vote for elementary students.
| Party | Party leader | # of candidates |
Seats | Popular vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 | Dissolution | Elected | % Change | # | % | % Change | ||||
| Liberal | Dalton McGuinty | 103 | 35 | 36 | 72 | +105.7% | 2,090,001 | 46.4% | +6.6% | |
| Progressive Conservative | Ernie Eves | 103 | 59 | 56 | 24 | -59.3% | 1,559,181 | 34.6% | -10.5% | |
| New Democrats | Howard Hampton | 103 | 9 | 9 | 7 | -22.2% | 660,730 | 14.7% | +2.1% | |
| Green | Frank de Jong | 102 | - | - | - | - | 126,651 | 2.8% | +2.1% | |
| Family Coalition | Giuseppe Gori | 51 | - | - | - | - | 34,623 | 0.8% | +0.2% | |
| Freedom | Paul McKeever | 24 | - | - | - | - | 8,376 | 0.2% | +0.1% | |
| Communist | Elizabeth Rowley | 6 | - | - | - | - | 2,187 | 0.05% | +0.03% | |
| Libertarian | Sam Apelbaum | 5 | - | - | - | - | 1,991 | 0.04% | -0.06% | |
| Confederation of Regions | none (Richard Butson, de facto) | 1 | - | - | - | - | 293 | 0.01% | ||
| Independent & non-affiliated | 24 | - | 1 | - | -100% | 13,211 | 0.3% | -0.3% | ||
| Independent Renewal | 10 | - | - | - | - | 3,402 | - | - | ||
| Independent Liberal | 1 | - | - | - | - | 3,259 | - | - | ||
| Independent Reform | 1 | - | - | - | - | 586 | - | - | ||
| Communist League | 1 | - | - | - | - | 204 | - | - | ||
| Other independent | 11 | - | - | - | - | 5,760 | - | - | ||
| Vacant | 1 | |||||||||
| Total | 103 | 103 | 103 | - | 4,497,244 | 100% | ||||
Notes:
1 "Before" refers to the party standings in the Legislature at the end of the legislative session, and not to the standings at the previous election.
2 Richard Butson was the sole candidate for the Confederation of Regions Party.
3Ten candidates ran as "Independent Renewal" candidates. This was the Marxist-Leninist Party under another name.
4Candidates from the Independent Reform Party and Communist League also ran as independents.
5Costas Manios ran as an "Independent Liberal" candidate after being denied the opportunity to run for the Liberal Party nomination in Scarborough Centre. Outgoing MPP Claudette Boyer had sat in the house as an "Independent Liberal" from 2001 to 2003.
It is possible that some other candidates listed on the ballot as independents ran for unregistered parties.
The following table gives the number of seats each party won, and the number of ridings in which each party came second, third, and fourth:
| Party | Seats | Second | Third | Fourth | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 72 | 30 | 1 | 0 | |
| Progressive Conservative | 24 | 57 | 22 | 0 | |
| New Democrats | 7 | 16 | 78 | 2 | |
| Green | 0 | 0 | 2 | 92 | |
| Family Coalition | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Independent Liberal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Other | ||||||||
| Nepean—Carleton | Rod Vanier 20,878 (35.65%) |
John Baird 31,662 (54.06%) |
Liam McCarthy 3,828 (6.54%) |
Matt Takach 2,200 (3.76%) |
John Baird | |||||||
| Ottawa Centre | Richard Patten 22,295 (45.1%) |
Joe Varner 11,217 (22.69%) |
Jeff Atkinson 11,362 (22.98%) |
Chris Bradshaw 3,821 (7.73%) |
Stuart Ryan (Comm) 306 (0.62%) Matt Szymanowicz (F) 218 (0.44%) Fakhry Guirguis (Ind) 214 (0.43%) |
Richard Patten | ||||||
| Ottawa—Orléans | Phil McNeely 25,300 (50.36%) |
Brian Coburn 20,762 (41.32%) |
Ric Dagenais 2,778 (5.53%) |
Melanie Ransom 1,402 (2.79%) |
Brian Coburn | |||||||
| Ottawa South | Dalton McGuinty 24,647 (51.7%) |
Richard Raymond 16,413 (34.43%) |
James McLaren 4,306 (9.03%) |
David Chernushenko 1,741 (3.65%) |
John Pacheco (FCP) 562 (1.18%) |
Dalton McGuinty | ||||||
| Ottawa—Vanier | Madeleine Meilleur 22,188 (53.53%) |
Maurice Lamirande 10,878 (26.24%) |
Joseph Zebrowski 6,507 (15.7%) |
Raphael Thierrin 1,876 (4.53%) |
Claudette Boyer † | |||||||
| Ottawa West—Nepean | Jim Watson 23,127 (47.04%) |
Garry Guzzo 20,277 (41.24%) |
Marlene Rivier 4,099 (8.34%) |
Neil Adair 1,309 (2.66%) |
Robert Gauthier (Ind) 353 (0.72%) |
Garry Guzzo | ||||||
| Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Other | ||||||||
| Glengarry—Prescott—Russell | Jean-Marc Lalonde 28,956 |
Albert Bourdeau 10,921 |
Guy Belle-Isle 2,544 |
Louise Pattington 1,471 |
Jean-Marc Lalonde | |||||||
| Hastings—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington | Leona Dombrowsky 21,548 |
Barry Gordon 13,709 |
Ross Sutherland 4,286 |
Adam Scott 1,311 |
John-Henry Westen (FCP) 673 |
Leona Dombrowsky | ||||||
| Kingston and the Islands | John Gerretsen 28,877 |
Hans Westenberg 9,640 |
Janet Collins 5,514 |
Eric Walton 3,137 |
Chris Beneteau (FCP) 735 |
John Gerretsen | ||||||
| Lanark—Carleton | Marianne Wilkinson 23,466 (38.79%) |
Norm Sterling 29,641 (48.99%) |
Jim Ronson 3,554 (5.87%) |
John Baranyi 2,564 (4.24%) |
Jim Gardiner (FCP) 1,275 (2.11%) |
Norm Sterling | ||||||
| Leeds—Grenville | Stephen Mazurek 17,667 |
Bob Runciman 21,443 |
Steve Armstrong 2,469 |
Jerry Heath 1,799 |
Melody Trolly (FCP) 649 |
Bob Runciman | ||||||
| Prince Edward—Hastings | Ernie Parsons 22,937 |
John Williams 12,800 |
Jodie Jenkins 3,377 |
Joe Ross 628 |
Trueman Tuck (F) 229 |
Ernie Parsons | ||||||
| Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke | Derek Nighbor 18,629 |
John Yakabuski 19,274 |
Felcite Stairs 5,092 |
Chris Walker 671 |
Sean Conway † | |||||||
| Stormont—Dundas— Charlottenburgh |
Jim Brownell 19,558 |
Todd Lalonde 13,948 |
Matt Sumegi 1,639 |
Tom Manley 2,098 |
Gary Besner (Ind) 968 |
John Cleary † | ||||||
| Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Other | ||||||||
| Barrie—Simcoe—Bradford | Mike Ramsay 21,998 |
Joe Tascona 31,529 |
John Thomson 5,641 |
Stewart Sinclair 1,278 |
Roberto Sales (FCP) 441 |
Joe Tascona | ||||||
| Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | Dave Hocking 14,881 |
Bill Murdoch 23,338 |
Colleen Purdon 4,159 |
Martin Donald 769 |
Linda Freiburger (FCP) 1,086 Bill Cook (Ind - Independent Reform) 586 |
Bill Murdoch | ||||||
| Dufferin—Peel—Wellington—Grey | Dan Yake 14,859 |
Ernie Eves 29,222 |
Mitchel Healey 3,148 |
Frank de Jong 3,161 |
Dave Davies (FCP) 1,202 |
Ernie Eves | ||||||
| Durham | Garry Minnie 18,590 |
John O'Toole 23,814 |
Teresa Williams 6,274 |
Gordon MacDonald 1,183 |
Cathy McKeever (F) 707 |
John O'Toole | ||||||
| Haliburton—Victoria—Brock | Jason Ward 17,171 |
Laurie Scott 24,297 |
Earl Manners 7,884 |
Douglas Smith 1,183 |
Paul Gordon (FCP) 663 Charles Olito (F) 273 |
Chris Hodgson † | ||||||
| Northumberland | Lou Rinaldi 20,382 |
Doug Galt 17,816 |
Murray Weppler 5,210 |
Derrick Kelly 1,839 |
Doug Galt | |||||||
| Peterborough | Jeff Leal 24,626 |
Gary Stewart 18,418 |
Dave Nickle 9,796 |
Tim Holland 1,605 |
Max Murray (FCP) 414 Bob Bowers (Ind) 178 |
Gary Stewart | ||||||
| Simcoe—Grey | Mark Redmond 17,505 |
Jim Wilson 26,114 |
Leo Losereit 5,032 |
Geoffrey Maile 875 |
Steven Taylor (FCP) 801 Philip Bender (Lbt) 411 |
Jim Wilson | ||||||
| Simcoe North | Paul Sloan 19,713 |
Garfield Dunlop 23,393 |
John Niddery 5,515 |
Nina Pruesse 1,540 |
Blaine Scott (FCP) 453 Karnail Singh (Ind) 101 |
Garfield Dunlop | ||||||
| York North | John Taylor 21,054 |
Julia Munro 24,517 |
Sylvia Gerl 4,029 |
Bob Burrows 1,854 |
Simone Williams (FCP) 497 |
Julia Munro | ||||||
| Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Other | ||||||||
| Markham | Tony Wong 27,253 |
David Tsubouchi 21,257 |
Janice Hagan 2,679 |
Bernadette Manning 824 |
Patrick Redmond (FCP) 697 |
David Tsubouchi | ||||||
| Oak Ridges | Helena Jaczek 31,026 |
Frank Klees 32,647 |
Pamela Courtot 4,464 |
Steven Haylestrom 1,821 |
Frank Klees | |||||||
| Oshawa | Chris Topple 9,383 |
Jerry Ouellette 14,566 |
Sid Ryan 13,547 |
Karen Tweedle 636 |
Paul McKeever (F) 518 Dale Chilvers (FCP) 383 |
Jerry Ouellette | ||||||
| Pickering—Ajax—Uxbridge | Wayne Arthurs 24,970 |
Janet Ecker 23,960 |
Vern Edwards 3,690 |
Adam Duncan 1,946 |
Janet Ecker | |||||||
| Thornhill | Mario Racco 21,419 |
Tina Molinari 20,623 |
Laurie Orrett 2,616 |
Bridget Haworth 705 |
Lindsay King (F) 304 |
Tina Molinari | ||||||
| Vaughan—King—Aurora | Greg Sorbara 36,928 |
Carmine Iacono 21,744 |
Mike Seaward 4,697 |
Adrian Visentin 2,412 |
Greg Sorbara | |||||||
| Whitby—Ajax | Dennis Fox 22,593 |
Jim Flaherty 27,240 |
Dan Edwards 5,155 |
Michael MacDonald 1,375 |
Jim Flaherty | |||||||
| Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Other | ||||||||
| Beaches—East York | Monica Purdy 10,070 |
Angela Kennedy 8,157 |
Michael Prue 21,239 |
Tom Mason 1,995 |
Michael Prue | |||||||
| Davenport | Tony Ruprecht 15,586 |
Tom Smith 1,977 |
Jordan Berger 7,243 |
Mark O'Brien 907 |
David Senater (Ind) 293 Franz Cauchi (F) 264 Nunzio Venuto (Lbt) 233 |
Tony Ruprecht | ||||||
| Don Valley West | Kathleen Wynne 23,488 |
David Turnbull 17,394 |
Ali Naqvi 2,540 |
Philip Hawkins 1,239 |
David Turnbull | |||||||
| Eglinton—Lawrence | Mike Colle 23,743 |
Corinne Korzen 12,402 |
Robin Alter 4,351 |
Mark Viitala 1,236 |
Mike Colle | |||||||
| Parkdale—High Park | Gerard Kennedy 23,008 |
Stephen Snell 6,436 |
Margo Duncan 6,275 |
Neil Spiegel 2,758 |
Stan Grzywna (FCP) 591 Karin Larsen (Comm) 349 John Steele (Ind [Communist League]) 204 Dick Field (F) 165 |
Gerard Kennedy | ||||||
| St. Paul's | Michael Bryant 24,887 |
Charis Kelso 11,203 |
Julian Heller 6,740 |
Peter Elgie 2,266 |
Carol Leborg (F) 354 |
Michael Bryant | ||||||
| Toronto Centre—Rosedale | George Smitherman 23,872 |
John Adams 9,968 |
Gene Lara 9,112 |
Gabriel Draven 1,739 |
Philip Fernandez (Ind [Independent Renewal]) 324 Silvio Ursomarzo (F) 218 |
George Smitherman | ||||||
| Toronto—Danforth | Jim Davidson 12,246 |
George Sardelis 6,562 |
Marilyn Churley 18,253 |
Michael Pilling 1,368 |
Masood Atchekzai (FCP) 217 Mehmet Ali Yagiz (Ind) 73 |
Marilyn Churley | ||||||
| Trinity—Spadina | Nellie Pedro 12,927 |
Helena Guergis 4,985 |
Rosario Marchese 19,268 |
Greg Laxton 2,362 |
Judson Glober (Lbt) 756 Nick Lin (Ind [Independent Renewal]) 256 |
Rosario Marchese | ||||||
| York South—Weston | Joseph Cordiano 19,932 |
Stephen Halicki 4,930 |
Brian Donlevy 6,247 |
Enrique Palad 794 |
Mariangela Sanabria (FCP) 475 |
Joseph Cordiano | ||||||
| Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Other | ||||||||
| Don Valley East | David Caplan 21,327 |
Paul Sutherland 12,027 |
Murphy Browne 3,058 |
Dan Craig 558 |
Ryan Kidd (FCP) 460 Wayne Simmons (F) 119 |
David Caplan | ||||||
| Etobicoke Centre | Donna Cansfield 22,070 |
Rose Andrachuk 17,610 |
Margaret Anne McHugh 3,400 |
Ralph M. Chapman 1,584 |
Chris Stockwell † | |||||||
| Etobicoke—Lakeshore | Laurel Broten 19,680 |
Morley Kells 14,524 |
Irene Jones 8,952 |
Junyee Wang 708 |
Ted Kupiec (FCP) 480 Janice Murray (Ind [Independent Renewal]) 225 |
Morley Kells | ||||||
| Etobicoke North | Shafiq Qaadri 16,727 |
Baljit Gosal 6,978 |
Kuldip Singh Sodhi 3,516 |
Mir Kamal 503 |
Frank Acri (Ind) 1,990 Teresa Ceolin (FCP) 1,275 |
John Hastings † | ||||||
| Scarborough—Agincourt | Gerry Phillips 23,026 |
Yolanda Chan 11,337 |
Stacy Douglas 2,209 |
Lawrence Arkilander 566 |
Tony Ieraci (FCP) 550 |
Gerry Phillips | ||||||
| Scarborough Centre | Brad Duguid 21,698 |
Marilyn Mushinski 11,686 |
Michael Laxer 3,653 |
Robert Carty 642 |
Costas Manios (Independent Liberal) 3,259 Joseph Internicola (FCP) 495 Elizabeth Rowley (Comm) 241 |
Marilyn Mushinski | ||||||
| Scarborough East | Mary Anne Chambers 21,798 |
Steve Gilchrist 14,323 |
Gary Dale 5,250 |
Hugh McNeil 668 |
Sam Apelbaum (Lbt) 285 |
Steve Gilchrist | ||||||
| Scarborough—Rouge River | Alvin Curling 23,976 |
Kevin Moore 9,468 |
Jean-Paul Yovanoff 2,246 |
Karen Macdonald 1,326 |
Mitchell Persaud (FCP) 536 |
Alvin Curling | ||||||
| Scarborough Southwest | Lorenzo Berardinetti 17,501 |
Dan Newman 11,826 |
Barbara Warner 6,688 |
Andrew Strachan 689 |
Ray Scott (FCP) 586 |
Dan Newman | ||||||
| Willowdale | David Zimmer 21,823 |
David Young 19,957 |
Yvonne Bobb 3,084 |
Sharolyn Vettesse 933 |
Rina Morra (FCP) 442 Vaughan Byrnes (F) 227 |
David Young | ||||||
| York Centre | Monte Kwinter 18,808 |
Dan Cullen 7,826 |
Matthew Norrish 3,494 |
Constantine Kristonis 1,496 |
Monte Kwinter | |||||||
| York West | Mario Sergio 16,102 |
Ted Aver 2,330 |
Garth Bobb 3,954 |
Richard Von Fuchs 437 |
Christopher Black (Comm) 408 |
Mario Sergio | ||||||
| Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Other | ||||||||
| Kuldip Kular 19,306 |
Raminder Gill 15,549 |
Cesar Martello 4,931 |
Ernst Braendli 1,176 |
Frank Chilelli (Ind - Independent Renewal) 868 Howard Cukoff |
Raminder Gill | |||||||
| Brampton Centre | Linda Jeffrey 16,661 |
Joe Spina 15,656 |
Kathy Pounder 4,827 |
Sanjeev Goel 820 |
Wally Dove (F) 356 |
Joe Spina | ||||||
| Brampton West—Mississauga | Vic Dhillon 28,926 |
Tony Clement 26,414 |
Chris Moise 5,103 |
Paul Simas 811 |
Paul Micelli (FCP) 1,122 John G. Purdy (F) 266 |
Tony Clement | ||||||
| Mississauga Centre | Harinder Takhar 18,466 |
Rob Sampson 15,846 |
Michael Miller 3,237 |
Jeffrey Scott Smith 776 |
John R. Lyall (FCP) 588 |
Rob Sampson | ||||||
| Mississauga East | Peter Fonseca 16,686 |
Carl DeFaria 13,382 |
Michael Hancock 2,479 |
Donald Barber 666 |
Gary Nail (FCP) 358 Pierre Chenier (Independent Renewal) 256 |
Carl DeFaria | ||||||
| Mississauga South | Tim Peterson 17,211 |
Margaret Marland 16,977 |
Ken Cole 3,606 |
Pamela Murray 949 |
Alfred Zawadzki (FCP) 555 |
Margaret Marland | ||||||
| Mississauga West | Bob Delaney 27,903 |
Nina Tangri 20,406 |
Arif Raza 4,196 |
Richard Pereira 1,395 |
Charles Montano (FCP) 989 |
John Snobelen † | ||||||
| Oakville | Kevin Flynn 22,428 |
Kurt Franklin 18,991 |
Anwar Naqvi 2,858 |
Theresa Tritt (FCP) 751 |
Gary Carr † | |||||||
| Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Other | ||||||||
| Ancaster—Dundas— Flamborough—Aldershot |
Ted McMeekin 23,045 |
Mark Mullins 18,141 |
Kelly Hayes 5,666 |
Brian Elder Sullivan 903 |
Michael Trolly (FCP) 434 Richard Butson (CoR) 293 |
Ted McKeekin | ||||||
| Burlington | Mark Fuller 19,654 |
Cam Jackson 21,506 |
David Laird 3,832 |
Julie Gordon 1,086 |
Vic Corvaro (FCP) 523 |
Cam Jackson | ||||||
| Erie—Lincoln | Vance Badawey 16,290 |
Tim Hudak 20,348 |
Julius Antal 3,950 |
Tom Ferguson 713 |
Steve Elgersma (FCP) 666 |
Tim Hudak | ||||||
| Halton | Barbara Sullivan 28,112 |
Ted Chudleigh 33,610 |
Jay Jackson 5,587 |
Matthew Raymond Smith 1,295 |
Giuseppe Gori (FCP) 1,123 |
Ted Chudleigh | ||||||
| Hamilton East | Dominic Agostino 16,015 |
Sohail Bhatti 4,033 |
Bob Sutton 9,035 |
Raymond Dartsch 563 |
Bob Mann (Comm) 380 Kelly Greenaway (Independent Renewal) 378 Michael Izzotti (FCP) 304 |
Dominic Agostino | ||||||
| Hamilton Mountain | Marie Bountrogianni 23,524 |
Shakil Hassan 8,637 |
Chris Charlton 12,017 |
Selwyn Inniss 494 |
Eleanor Johnson (FCP) 748 |
Marie Bountrogianni | ||||||
| Hamilton West | Judy Marsales 15,600 |
Doug Brown 8,185 |
Roy Adams 13,468 |
Jo Pavlov 727 |
Lynne Scime (FCP) 750 Jamilé Ghaddar (Independent Renewal) 303 |
David Christopherson † | ||||||
| Niagara Centre | Henry D'Angela 12,526 |
Ann Gronski 10,336 |
Peter Kormos 23,289 |
Jordan McArthur 768 |
Peter Kormos | |||||||
| Niagara Falls | Kim Craitor 18,904 |
Bart Maves 15,353 |
Claude Sonier 4,962 |
Ryan McLaughlin 1,124 |
Bart Maves | |||||||
| St. Catharines | Jim Bradley 25,319 |
Mark Brickell 12,932 |
John Bacher 3,944 |
Jim Fannon 1,167 |
Linda Klassen (FCP) 714 |
Jim Bradley | ||||||
| Stoney Creek | Jennifer Mossop 24,751 |
Brad Clark 19,517 |
Lorrie McKibbon 5,419 |
Richard Safka 898 |
Brad Clark | |||||||
| Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Other | ||||||||
| Brant | Dave Levac 24,236 |
Alayne Sokoloski 13,618 |
David Noonan 5,262 |
Mike Clancy 1,014 |
John C. Turmel (Ind) 295 |
Dave Levac | ||||||
| Cambridge | Jerry Boyle 16,559 |
Gerry Martiniuk 19,996 |
Pam Wolf 8,513 |
Michael Chownyk 983 |
Al Smith (FCP) 1,001 |
Gerry Martiniuk | ||||||
| Guelph—Wellington | Liz Sandals 23,607 |
Brenda Elliott 20,735 |
James Valcke 6,745 |
Ben Polley 3,917 |
Alan John McDonald (FCP) 914 |
Brenda Elliott | ||||||
| Haldimand—Norfolk—Brant | Rob Esselment 17,151 |
Toby Barrett 20,109 |
Paul Steiner 4,720 |
Graeme Dunn 1,088 |
Barra L. Gots (FCP) 548 |
Toby Barrett | ||||||
| Huron—Bruce | Carol Mitchell 19,879 |
Helen Johns 16,594 |
Grant Robertson 4,973 |
Shelley Hannah 934 |
Dave Joslin (FCP) 902 Robert Sabharwal (F) 127 |
Helen Johns | ||||||
| Kitchener Centre | John Milloy 18,280 |
Wayne Wettlaufer 16,210 |
Ted Martin 6,781 |
Luigi D'Agnillo 1,728 |
Wayne Wettlaufer | |||||||
| Kitchener—Waterloo | Sean Strickland 22,456 |
Elizabeth Witmer 23,957 |
Dan Lajoie 6,084 |
Pauline Richards 1,774 |
Lou Reitzel (FCP) 949 Owen Alastair Ferguson (Ind) 242 Julian Ichim (Independent Renewal) 153 |
Elizabeth Witmer | ||||||
| Oxford | Brian Brown 16,135 |
Ernie Hardeman 18,656 |
Shawn Rouse 5,318 |
Tom Mayberry 838 |
Andre De Decker (FCP) 689 Paul Blair (F) 404 Kaye Sargent (Lbt) 306 |
Ernie Hardeman | ||||||
| Perth—Middlesex | John Wilkinson 17,017 |
Bert Johnson 15,680 |
Jack Verhulst 4,703 |
John Cowling 1,201 |
Pat Bannon (FCP) 857 Robert Smink (F) 384 |
Bert Johnson | ||||||
| Waterloo—Wellington | Deborah Whale 17,344 |
Ted Arnott 22,550 |
Richard Walsh Bowers 3,970 |
Allan Strong 1,203 |
Gord Truscott (FCP) 978 |
Ted Arnott | ||||||
| Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Other | ||||||||
| Chatham-Kent—Essex | Pat Hoy 23,022 |
Dave Wilkinson 11,586 |
Derry McKeever 2,893 |
Jim Burgess 1,069 |
David Rodman (F) 281 |
Pat Hoy | ||||||
| Elgin—Middlesex—London | Steve Peters 24,914 |
Bruce Smith 13,149 |
Bryan Bakker 4,063 |
Mark Viitala 1,236 |
Ray Monteith (F) 671 |
Steve Peters | ||||||
| Essex | Bruce Crozier 20,559 |
Patrick O'Neil 11,234 |
Pat Hayes 12,614 |
Darren J. Brown 998 |
Bruce Crozier | |||||||
| Lambton—Kent—Middlesex | Maria Van Bommel 18,533 |
Marcel Beaubien 15,060 |
Joyce Jolliffe 4,523 |
Tim Van Bodegom 1,133 |
James Armstrong |
Marcel Beaubien | ||||||
| London North Centre | Deb Matthews 20,212 |
Dianne Cunningham 13,460 |
Rebecca Coulter 11,414 |
Bronagh Joyce Morgan 780 |
Craig Smith |
Dianne Cunningham | ||||||
| London—Fanshawe | Khalil Ramal 13,920 |
Frank Mazzilli 11,777 |
Irene Mathyssen 12,051 |
Bryan Smith 568 |
Mike Davidson (F) 493 |
Frank Mazzilli | ||||||
| London West | Chris Bentley 25,581 |
Bob Wood 15,463 |
Patti Dalton 7,403 |
Laura Wythe 805 |
Bill Frampton (F) 460 |
Bob Wood | ||||||
| Sarnia—Lambton | Caroline Di Cocco 18,179 |
Henk Vanden Ende 11,852 |
Glenn Sonier 6,482 |
Bradley Gray 1,414 |
Andrew Falby (F) 316 |
Caroline Di Cocco | ||||||
| Windsor—St. Clair | Dwight Duncan 19,692 |
Matt Bufton 4,162 |
Madeline Crnec 10,433 |
Chris Holt 1,315 |
Saroj Bains (Independent Renewal) 253 |
Dwight Duncan | ||||||
| Windsor West | Sandra Pupatello 21,993 |
Derek Insley 4,187 |
Yvette Blackburn 7,383 |
Cary M. Lucier 1,233 |
Enver Villamizar (Independent Renewal) 386 |
Sandra Pupatello | ||||||
| Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Other | ||||||||
| Algoma—Manitoulin | Mike Brown 14,520 |
Terry McCutcheon 5,168 |
Peter Denley 9,459 |
Ron Yurick 680 |
Mike Brown | |||||||
| Kenora—Rainy River | Geoff McClain 6,746 |
Cathe Hoszowski 3,343 |
Howard Hampton 15,666 |
Dan King 305 |
Howard Hampton | |||||||
| Nickel Belt | Alex McCauley 13,759 |
Dave Kilgour 4,804 |
Shelley Martel 16,567 |
Robert Nevin 479 |
Shelley Martel | |||||||
| Nipissing | Monique Smith 18,003 |
Al McDonald 14,978 |
Terry O'Connor 2,613 |
Jaimie Board 528 |
Al McDonald | |||||||
| Parry Sound—Muskoka | Dan Waters 13,332 |
Norm Miller 18,776 |
Jo-Anne Boulding 3,838 |
Glen Hodgson 2,277 |
Charlene Phinney (FCP) 484 |
Norm Miller | ||||||
| Sault Ste. Marie | David Orazietti 20,050 |
Bruce Willson 2,674 |
Tony Martin 11,379 |
Dan Brosemer 441 |
Al Walker (FCP) 606 |
Tony Martin | ||||||
| Sudbury | Rick Bartolucci 24,631 |
Mila Wong 5,068 |
Harvey Wyers 4,999 |
Luke Norton 1,009 |
Rick Bartolucci | |||||||
| Thunder Bay—Atikokan | Bill Mauro 17,735 |
Brian McKinnon 5,365 |
John Rafferty 6,582 |
Kristin Boyer 762 |
Lyn McLeod † | |||||||
| Thunder Bay—Superior North | Michael Gravelle 21,938 |
Brent Sylvester 2,912 |
Bonnie Satten 4,548 |
Carl Rose 882 |
Michael Gravelle | |||||||
| Timiskaming—Cochrane | David Ramsay 18,499 |
Rick Brassard 6,330 |
Ben Lefebvre 5,741 |
Paul Palmer 489 |
David Ramsay | |||||||
| Timmins—James Bay | Michael Doody 12,373 |
Merv Russell 2,527 |
Gilles Bisson 14,941 |
Marsha Kriss 219 |
Gilles Bisson | |||||||
Hamilton East (called due to the death of Dominic Agostino, March 24, 2004), May 13, 2004:
| By-election: Hamilton East | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| NDP | Andrea Horwath | 15,185 | 63.6 | +34.1 | |
| Liberal | Ralph Agostino | 6,362 | 26.6 | -25.5 | |
| PC | Tara Crugnale | 1,772 | 7.4 | -5.7 | |
| Green | Raymond Dartsch | 449 | 1.9 | -0.4 | |
| Independent | John C. Turmel | 122 | 0.5 | - | |
| Total | 23,887 | ||||
Dufferin—Peel—Wellington—Grey (resignation of Ernie Eves, February 1, 2005), March 17, 2005:
| By-election: Dufferin-Peel-Wellington-Grey | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| PC | John Tory | 15,633 | 56.3 | -0.3 | |
| Liberal | Bob Duncanson | 4,621 | 16.7 | -12.1 | |
| NDP | Lynda McDougall | 3,891 | 14.0 | +7.9 | |
| Green | Frank de Jong | 2,767 | 10.0 | +3.9 | |
| FCP | Paul Micelli | 488 | 1.7 | -0.6 | |
| Independent | Bill Cook | 164 | 0.6 | - | |
| Libertarian | Philip Bender | 135 | 0.5 | - | |
| Independent | John C. Turmel | 88 | 0.3 | - | |
| Total | 23,887 | ||||
Scarborough—Rouge River (Called due to the resignation of Alvin Curling August 19, 2005. Held November 24, 2005
| By-election: Scarborough—Rouge River | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | +/- | |
| Liberal | Bas Balkissoon | 9,347 | 57.6 | -6.2 | |
| Progressive Conservative | Cynthia Lai | 4,032 | 24.9 | -0.3 | |
| New Democrat | Sheila White | 2,425 | 14.9 | +8.9 | |
| Green | Steven Toman | 167 | 1.2 | -2.3 | |
| Libertarian | Alan Mercer | 100 | 0.6 | - | |
| Family Coalition | Rina Morra | 93 | 0.6 | -0.8 | |
| Freedom | Wayne Simmons | 59 | 0.4 | - | |
Toronto—Danforth (resignation of Marilyn Churley), March 30, 2006:
| By-election: Toronto—Danforth | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| NDP | Peter Tabuns | 13,064 | 47.8% | ||
| Liberal | Ben Chin | 10,636 | 38.9% | ||
| PC | Georgina Blanas | 2,713 | 9.9% | ||
| Green | Paul Charbonneau | 582 | 2.1% | ||
| Freedom Party | Franz Cauchi | 93 | 0.3% | ||
Whitby—Ajax (resignation of Jim Flaherty), March 30, 2006:
| By-election: Whitby—Ajax | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| PC | Christine Elliott | 15,843 | 46.2% | ||
| Liberal | Judi Longfield | 14,529 | 42.3% | ||
| NDP | Julie Gladman | 3,204 | 9.3% | ||
| Green | Nick Boileau | 307 | 0.9% | ||
| Freedom Party | Paul McKeever | 198 | 0.6% | ||
Nepean—Carleton (resignation of John Baird), March 30, 2006:
| By-election: Nepean—Carleton | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| PC | Lisa MacLeod | 17,311 | 57.6% | ||
| Liberal | Brian Ford | 9,457 | 31.4% | ||
| NDP | Laurel Gibbons | 2,489 | 8.3% | ||
| Green | Peter Tretter | 634 | 2.1% | ||
Parkdale—High Park (resignation of Gerard Kennedy): September 14, 2006
| By-election: Parkdale—High Park | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| NDP | Cheri DiNovo | 11,675 | 41.0 | +25.2 | |
| Liberal | Sylvia Watson | 9,387 | 33.0 | -24.8 | |
| PC | David Hutcheon | 4,921 | 17.3 | +1.1 | |
| Green | Frank De Jong | 1,758 | 6.2 | -0.7 | |
| Family Coalition | Stan Grzywna | 366 | 1.3 | -0.2 | |
| Libertarian | Jim McIntosh | 162 | 0.6 | - | |
| Freedom | Silvio Ursomarzo | 111 | 0.4 | 0.0 | |
| Independent | John C. Turmel | 77 | 0.3 | ||
York South—Weston (resignation of Joe Cordiano), February 8, 2007:
| By-election: York South—Weston | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| NDP | Paul Ferreira | 8,188 | 43.3 | +24.0 | |
| Liberal | Laura Albanese | 7,830 | 41.4 | -20.2 | |
| PC | Pina Martino | 1,941 | 10.3 | -4.9 | |
| Green | Mir Kamal | 262 | 1.4 | -1.1 | |
| Independent | Kevin Clarke | 220 | 1.2 | +1.2 | |
| Independent | Mohammed Choudhary | 142 | 0.8 | +0.8 | |
| Family Coalition | Mariangela Sanabria | 139 | 0.7 | -0.8 | |
| Libertarian | Nunzio Venuto | 98 | 0.5 | +0.5 | |
| Freedom | Wayne Simmons | 77 | 0.4 | +0.4 | |
Burlington (resignation of Cam Jackson), February 8, 2007:
| By-election: Burlington | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| PC | Joyce Savoline | 11,143 | 49.0 | +2.8 | |
| Liberal | Joan Lougheed | 9,365 | 41.2 | -1.0 | |
| NDP | Cory Judson | 1,310 | 5.8 | -1.4 | |
| Green | Frank de Jong | 734 | 3.2 | +0.9 | |
| Freedom | Paul Micelli | 106 | 0.5 | +0.5 | |
| Independent | John C. Turmel | 90 | 0.4 | +0.4 | |
Markham (resignation of Tony Wong), February 8, 2007:
| By-election: Markham | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| Liberal | Michael Chan | 9,080 | 49.3 | -1.4 | |
| PC | Alex Yuan | 6,420 | 34.9 | -5.4 | |
| NDP | Janice Hagan | 1,492 | 8.1 | +3.0 | |
| Green | Bernadette Manning | 999 | 5.4 | +3.8 | |
| Freedom | Cathy McKeever | 159 | 0.9 | +0.9 | |
| Family Coalition | Patrick Redmond | 135 | 0.7 | -0.6 | |
| Libertarian | Jay Miller | 126 | 0.6 | +0.6 | |
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